Therealreal Stock Performance
| REAL Stock | USD 11.16 0.26 2.28% |
The entity has a beta of 1.41, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, TheRealReal will likely underperform. At this point, TheRealReal has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to validate TheRealReal's skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if TheRealReal performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days TheRealReal has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 175.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -25.6 M |
TheRealReal | Build AI portfolio with TheRealReal Stock |
TheRealReal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,352 in TheRealReal on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (236.00) from holding TheRealReal or give up 17.46% of portfolio value over 90 days. TheRealReal is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.3698% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than TheRealReal, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
TheRealReal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of TheRealReal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 11.16 | 90 days | 11.16 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TheRealReal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This TheRealReal probability density function shows the probability of TheRealReal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
TheRealReal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TheRealReal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TheRealReal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TheRealReal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TheRealReal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TheRealReal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TheRealReal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TheRealReal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
TheRealReal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TheRealReal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TheRealReal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TheRealReal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TheRealReal has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| TheRealReal has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (134.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 493.68 M. | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
TheRealReal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TheRealReal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TheRealReal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TheRealReal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 172.2 M |
TheRealReal Fundamentals Growth
TheRealReal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of TheRealReal, and TheRealReal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on TheRealReal Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -9.33 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0572 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.11) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.7 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 116.68 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 4.84 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.92 X | ||||
| Revenue | 600.48 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (79.44 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 315.89 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.31 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 546.55 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 6.97 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (3.30) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 21.55 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.01) X | ||||
| Total Asset | 423.1 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.25 B) | ||||
| Current Asset | 3 K | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 20 K | ||||
About TheRealReal Performance
By examining TheRealReal's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into TheRealReal's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that TheRealReal is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The RealReal, Inc. operates an online marketplace for consigned luxury goods in the United State. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Realreal operates under Luxury Goods classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 3355 people.Things to note about TheRealReal performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about TheRealReal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for TheRealReal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TheRealReal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TheRealReal has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| TheRealReal has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (134.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 493.68 M. | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing TheRealReal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether TheRealReal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining TheRealReal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating TheRealReal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of TheRealReal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of TheRealReal's stock. These opinions can provide insight into TheRealReal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in TheRealReal. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. For more information on how to buy TheRealReal Stock please use our How to buy in TheRealReal Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TheRealReal. Anticipated expansion of TheRealReal directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive TheRealReal assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of TheRealReal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TheRealReal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TheRealReal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TheRealReal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TheRealReal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TheRealReal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between TheRealReal's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding TheRealReal should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, TheRealReal's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.