Correlation Between Air China and Cebu Air

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Air China and Cebu Air at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Air China and Cebu Air into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Air China Limited and Cebu Air ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Air China and Cebu Air and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Air China with a short position of Cebu Air. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Air China and Cebu Air.

Diversification Opportunities for Air China and Cebu Air

-0.4
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Air and Cebu is -0.4. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Air China Limited and Cebu Air ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cebu Air ADR and Air China is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Air China Limited are associated (or correlated) with Cebu Air. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cebu Air ADR has no effect on the direction of Air China i.e., Air China and Cebu Air go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Air China and Cebu Air

Assuming the 90 days horizon Air China Limited is expected to under-perform the Cebu Air. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Air China Limited is 1.29 times less risky than Cebu Air. The pink sheet trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Cebu Air ADR is currently generating about -0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  366.00  in Cebu Air ADR on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (181.00) from holding Cebu Air ADR or give up 49.45% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy66.73%
ValuesDaily Returns

Air China Limited  vs.  Cebu Air ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Air China Limited 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Air China Limited are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Air China reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Cebu Air ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Cebu Air ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Air China and Cebu Air Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Air China and Cebu Air

The main advantage of trading using opposite Air China and Cebu Air positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Air China position performs unexpectedly, Cebu Air can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cebu Air will offset losses from the drop in Cebu Air's long position.
The idea behind Air China Limited and Cebu Air ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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