Correlation Between Auburn National and BancFirst

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Auburn National and BancFirst at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Auburn National and BancFirst into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Auburn National Bancorporation and BancFirst, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Auburn National and BancFirst and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Auburn National with a short position of BancFirst. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Auburn National and BancFirst.

Diversification Opportunities for Auburn National and BancFirst

0.41
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Auburn and BancFirst is 0.41. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Auburn National Bancorp. and BancFirst in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on BancFirst and Auburn National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Auburn National Bancorporation are associated (or correlated) with BancFirst. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of BancFirst has no effect on the direction of Auburn National i.e., Auburn National and BancFirst go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Auburn National and BancFirst

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Auburn National is expected to generate 2.55 times less return on investment than BancFirst. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Auburn National Bancorporation is 2.41 times less risky than BancFirst. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. BancFirst is currently generating about 0.19 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  11,120  in BancFirst on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,689  from holding BancFirst or generate 15.19% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Auburn National Bancorp.  vs.  BancFirst

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Auburn National Banc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Auburn National Bancorporation are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting fundamental drivers, Auburn National displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
BancFirst 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BancFirst are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly inconsistent basic indicators, BancFirst reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Auburn National and BancFirst Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Auburn National and BancFirst

The main advantage of trading using opposite Auburn National and BancFirst positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Auburn National position performs unexpectedly, BancFirst can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BancFirst will offset losses from the drop in BancFirst's long position.
The idea behind Auburn National Bancorporation and BancFirst pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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