Bancfirst Stock Performance
| BANF Stock | USD 110.00 5.59 4.84% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.33, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, BancFirst will likely underperform. BancFirst right now shows a risk of 1.94%. Please confirm BancFirst total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if BancFirst will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days BancFirst has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, BancFirst is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (4.84) | Five Day Return (5.60) | Year To Date Return 3.32 | Ten Year Return 289.38 | All Time Return 6 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.017 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.96 | Dividend Date 2026-01-15 |
1 | Insider Trading | 12/01/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 10298 shares by Martin William Scott of BancFirst at 126.0053 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/05/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Schmidt Darryl of 200 shares of BancFirst subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/09/2025 |
4 | Is Now The Time To Put BancFirst On Your Watchlist | 12/23/2025 |
| BancFirst dividend paid on 15th of January 2026 | 01/15/2026 |
5 | BancFirst GAAP EPS of 1.75 misses by 0.04, revenue of 181M beats by 7.24M | 01/23/2026 |
6 | Should BancFirsts Fifth Year of Record Earnings Spur Action From Investors | 01/27/2026 |
7 | Disposition of 269223 shares by Bf Bank Partners Lp of BancFirst subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/30/2026 |
8 | Disposition of 188 shares by David Rainbolt of BancFirst subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/03/2026 |
9 | Institutional Owners May Take Dramatic Actions as BancFirst Corporations Recent 7.0 percent Drop Adds to One-year Losses - | 02/09/2026 |
10 | BancFirst Valuation Check After Recent Momentum Shift And Mixed Pricing Signals | 02/12/2026 |
11 | How Strong Revenue But Softer EPS At BancFirst Has Changed Its Investment Story | 02/23/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 3.6 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 15.5 M |
BancFirst | Build AI portfolio with BancFirst Stock |
BancFirst Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 11,048 in BancFirst on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (48.00) from holding BancFirst or give up 0.43% of portfolio value over 90 days. BancFirst is currently generating 0.0116% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.9387% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than BancFirst, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
BancFirst Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of BancFirst Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 110.00 | 90 days | 110.00 | about 70.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BancFirst to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.73 (This BancFirst probability density function shows the probability of BancFirst Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
BancFirst Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BancFirst
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BancFirst. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BancFirst Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BancFirst is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BancFirst's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BancFirst, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BancFirst within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
BancFirst Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BancFirst for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BancFirst can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of January 2026 BancFirst paid $ 0.49 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: How Strong Revenue But Softer EPS At BancFirst Has Changed Its Investment Story |
BancFirst Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BancFirst Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BancFirst's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BancFirst's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 B |
BancFirst Fundamentals Growth
BancFirst Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of BancFirst, and BancFirst fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on BancFirst Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0173 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.35 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.49 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | (81.47 M) | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 33.54 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 28.20 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.09 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 5.39 X | ||||
| Revenue | 824.33 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 684.96 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 325.92 M | ||||
| Net Income | 240.61 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.94 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 119.79 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 13.33 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.05 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 53.49 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 285.28 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 7.11 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 3.69 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 14.71 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.43 B | ||||
About BancFirst Performance
By analyzing BancFirst's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into BancFirst's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if BancFirst has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if BancFirst has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.02 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.02 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.04 | 0.04 |
Things to note about BancFirst performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about BancFirst for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for BancFirst help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of January 2026 BancFirst paid $ 0.49 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: How Strong Revenue But Softer EPS At BancFirst Has Changed Its Investment Story |
- Analyzing BancFirst's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether BancFirst's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining BancFirst's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating BancFirst's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of BancFirst's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of BancFirst's stock. These opinions can provide insight into BancFirst's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for BancFirst Stock analysis
When running BancFirst's price analysis, check to measure BancFirst's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BancFirst is operating at the current time. Most of BancFirst's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BancFirst's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BancFirst's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BancFirst to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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