Bancfirst Stock Performance
| BANF Stock | USD 119.04 2.35 2.01% |
BancFirst has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.15, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, BancFirst will likely underperform. BancFirst right now shows a risk of 1.79%. Please confirm BancFirst downside variance, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if BancFirst will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BancFirst are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, BancFirst may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.19 | Five Day Return 7.26 | Year To Date Return 9.6 | Ten Year Return 325.57 | All Time Return 6.4 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0168 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.96 | Dividend Date 2026-01-15 |
1 | SG Americas Securities LLC Sells 19,902 Shares of BancFirst Corporation BANF - MarketBeat | 11/20/2025 |
2 | Insider Trading | 12/01/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 10298 shares by Martin William Scott of BancFirst at 126.0053 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/05/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Schmidt Darryl of 200 shares of BancFirst subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/09/2025 |
| BancFirst dividend paid on 15th of January 2026 | 01/15/2026 |
5 | Should BancFirsts Fifth Year of Record Earnings Spur Action From Investors - simplywall.st | 01/26/2026 |
6 | Disposition of 269223 shares by Bf Bank Partners Lp of BancFirst subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/30/2026 |
7 | Assessing BancFirst Valuation After Q4 Earnings Show Higher Net Income And Rising Net Charge Offs | 02/03/2026 |
8 | BancFirst Is Up 7.9 percent After EPS Rises Despite Higher Loan Charge-offs Has The Bull Case Changed | 02/05/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 2.4 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -71.4 M |
BancFirst | Build AI portfolio with BancFirst Stock |
BancFirst Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 11,222 in BancFirst on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 682.00 from holding BancFirst or generate 6.08% return on investment over 90 days. BancFirst is currently generating 0.1126% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.7866% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than BancFirst, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
BancFirst Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of BancFirst Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 119.04 | 90 days | 119.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BancFirst to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BancFirst probability density function shows the probability of BancFirst Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
BancFirst Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BancFirst
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BancFirst. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BancFirst Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BancFirst is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BancFirst's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BancFirst, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BancFirst within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
BancFirst Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BancFirst for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BancFirst can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BancFirst has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of January 2026 BancFirst paid $ 0.49 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: BancFirst Is Up 7.9 percent After EPS Rises Despite Higher Loan Charge-offs Has The Bull Case Changed |
BancFirst Fundamentals Growth
BancFirst Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of BancFirst, and BancFirst fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on BancFirst Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0173 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.35 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.49 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | (44.58 M) | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 33.54 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 28.20 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.11 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 5.71 X | ||||
| Revenue | 824.33 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 684.96 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 325.92 M | ||||
| Net Income | 216.35 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.94 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 119.79 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 86.16 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.05 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 53.49 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 261.2 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 7.11 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 3.91 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 13.55 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.43 B | ||||
About BancFirst Performance
By analyzing BancFirst's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into BancFirst's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if BancFirst has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if BancFirst has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.17 | 0.18 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | 0.14 |
Things to note about BancFirst performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about BancFirst for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for BancFirst help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BancFirst has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of January 2026 BancFirst paid $ 0.49 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: BancFirst Is Up 7.9 percent After EPS Rises Despite Higher Loan Charge-offs Has The Bull Case Changed |
- Analyzing BancFirst's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether BancFirst's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining BancFirst's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating BancFirst's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of BancFirst's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of BancFirst's stock. These opinions can provide insight into BancFirst's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for BancFirst Stock analysis
When running BancFirst's price analysis, check to measure BancFirst's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BancFirst is operating at the current time. Most of BancFirst's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BancFirst's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BancFirst's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BancFirst to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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