Correlation Between Valneva SE and Moderna

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Valneva SE and Moderna at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Valneva SE and Moderna into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Valneva SE and Moderna, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Valneva SE and Moderna and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Valneva SE with a short position of Moderna. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Valneva SE and Moderna.

Diversification Opportunities for Valneva SE and Moderna

-0.7
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Valneva and Moderna is -0.7. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Valneva SE and Moderna in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Moderna and Valneva SE is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Valneva SE are associated (or correlated) with Moderna. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Moderna has no effect on the direction of Valneva SE i.e., Valneva SE and Moderna go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Valneva SE and Moderna

Assuming the 90 days horizon Valneva SE is expected to generate 0.95 times more return on investment than Moderna. However, Valneva SE is 1.05 times less risky than Moderna. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Moderna is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  549.00  in Valneva SE on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (163.00) from holding Valneva SE or give up 29.69% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy99.8%
ValuesDaily Returns

Valneva SE  vs.  Moderna

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Valneva SE 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Valneva SE are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, Valneva SE reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Moderna 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Moderna has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Valneva SE and Moderna Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Valneva SE and Moderna

The main advantage of trading using opposite Valneva SE and Moderna positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Valneva SE position performs unexpectedly, Moderna can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Moderna will offset losses from the drop in Moderna's long position.
The idea behind Valneva SE and Moderna pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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