Correlation Between Bilfinger and Obayashi

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Bilfinger and Obayashi at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Bilfinger and Obayashi into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Bilfinger SE ADR and Obayashi, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Bilfinger and Obayashi and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Bilfinger with a short position of Obayashi. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Bilfinger and Obayashi.

Diversification Opportunities for Bilfinger and Obayashi

-0.47
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Bilfinger and Obayashi is -0.47. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bilfinger SE ADR and Obayashi in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Obayashi and Bilfinger is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Bilfinger SE ADR are associated (or correlated) with Obayashi. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Obayashi has no effect on the direction of Bilfinger i.e., Bilfinger and Obayashi go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Bilfinger and Obayashi

Assuming the 90 days horizon Bilfinger SE ADR is expected to under-perform the Obayashi. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Bilfinger SE ADR is 2.11 times less risky than Obayashi. The pink sheet trades about -0.32 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Obayashi is currently generating about 0.25 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,134  in Obayashi on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  266.00  from holding Obayashi or generate 23.46% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Bilfinger SE ADR  vs.  Obayashi

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Bilfinger SE ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Bilfinger SE ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong fundamental drivers, Bilfinger is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Obayashi 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Obayashi are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak fundamental indicators, Obayashi reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Bilfinger and Obayashi Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Bilfinger and Obayashi

The main advantage of trading using opposite Bilfinger and Obayashi positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Bilfinger position performs unexpectedly, Obayashi can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Obayashi will offset losses from the drop in Obayashi's long position.
The idea behind Bilfinger SE ADR and Obayashi pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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