Obayashi Stock Performance

OBYCF Stock  USD 23.65  0.25  1.07%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Obayashi holds a performance score of 17. The company holds a Beta of 0.095, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Obayashi's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Obayashi is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Obayashi's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Obayashi's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Obayashi are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile fundamental indicators, Obayashi reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow236.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-49.8 B
  

Obayashi Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,698  in Obayashi on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  667.00  from holding Obayashi or generate 39.28% return on investment over 90 days. Obayashi is currently producing 0.5769% returns and takes up 2.5915% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 23% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Obayashi, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Obayashi is expected to generate 3.43 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.43 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Obayashi Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Obayashi Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 23.65 90 days 23.65 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Obayashi to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Obayashi probability density function shows the probability of Obayashi Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Obayashi has a beta of 0.095. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Obayashi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Obayashi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Obayashi has an alpha of 0.5061, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Obayashi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Obayashi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Obayashi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Obayashi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0623.6526.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.8124.4026.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.4424.0326.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.1621.9623.77
Details

Obayashi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Obayashi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Obayashi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Obayashi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Obayashi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
1.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Obayashi Fundamentals Growth

Obayashi Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Obayashi, and Obayashi fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Obayashi Pink Sheet performance.

About Obayashi Performance

By analyzing Obayashi's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Obayashi's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Obayashi has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Obayashi has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Obayashi Corporation engages in the construction business in Japan, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Europe, and Oceania. The company was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Obayashi Corp operates under Engineering Construction classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 15470 people.

Things to note about Obayashi performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Obayashi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Obayashi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Obayashi's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Obayashi's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Obayashi's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Obayashi's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Obayashi's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Obayashi's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Obayashi's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Obayashi's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Obayashi's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Obayashi's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Obayashi's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Obayashi Pink Sheet analysis

When running Obayashi's price analysis, check to measure Obayashi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Obayashi is operating at the current time. Most of Obayashi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Obayashi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Obayashi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Obayashi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets