Correlation Between Profunds Short and Ultrabear Profund

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Profunds Short and Ultrabear Profund at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Profunds Short and Ultrabear Profund into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Profunds Short Bitcoin and Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Profunds Short and Ultrabear Profund and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Profunds Short with a short position of Ultrabear Profund. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Profunds Short and Ultrabear Profund.

Diversification Opportunities for Profunds Short and Ultrabear Profund

0.63
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Profunds and Ultrabear is 0.63. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Profunds Short Bitcoin and Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultrabear Profund and Profunds Short is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Profunds Short Bitcoin are associated (or correlated) with Ultrabear Profund. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultrabear Profund has no effect on the direction of Profunds Short i.e., Profunds Short and Ultrabear Profund go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Profunds Short and Ultrabear Profund

Assuming the 90 days horizon Profunds Short Bitcoin is expected to under-perform the Ultrabear Profund. In addition to that, Profunds Short is 1.76 times more volatile than Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear. It trades about -0.21 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear is currently generating about -0.06 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  857.00  in Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear on October 23, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (19.00) from holding Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear or give up 2.22% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy94.74%
ValuesDaily Returns

Profunds Short Bitcoin  vs.  Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Profunds Short Bitcoin 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Profunds Short Bitcoin has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
Ultrabear Profund 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Ultrabear Profund is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Profunds Short and Ultrabear Profund Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Profunds Short and Ultrabear Profund

The main advantage of trading using opposite Profunds Short and Ultrabear Profund positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Profunds Short position performs unexpectedly, Ultrabear Profund can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultrabear Profund will offset losses from the drop in Ultrabear Profund's long position.
The idea behind Profunds Short Bitcoin and Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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