Correlation Between Brent Crude and 30 Year

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Brent Crude and 30 Year at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Brent Crude and 30 Year into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Brent Crude Oil and 30 Year Treasury, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Brent Crude and 30 Year and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Brent Crude with a short position of 30 Year. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Brent Crude and 30 Year.

Diversification Opportunities for Brent Crude and 30 Year

-0.09
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Brent and ZBUSD is -0.09. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Brent Crude Oil and 30 Year Treasury in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on 30 Year Treasury and Brent Crude is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Brent Crude Oil are associated (or correlated) with 30 Year. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of 30 Year Treasury has no effect on the direction of Brent Crude i.e., Brent Crude and 30 Year go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Brent Crude and 30 Year

Assuming the 90 days horizon Brent Crude Oil is expected to generate 2.39 times more return on investment than 30 Year. However, Brent Crude is 2.39 times more volatile than 30 Year Treasury. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. 30 Year Treasury is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  7,615  in Brent Crude Oil on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (422.00) from holding Brent Crude Oil or give up 5.54% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy99.8%
ValuesDaily Returns

Brent Crude Oil  vs.  30 Year Treasury

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Brent Crude Oil 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Brent Crude Oil has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Commodity's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for Brent Crude Oil shareholders.
30 Year Treasury 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days 30 Year Treasury has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, 30 Year is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Brent Crude and 30 Year Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Brent Crude and 30 Year

The main advantage of trading using opposite Brent Crude and 30 Year positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Brent Crude position performs unexpectedly, 30 Year can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in 30 Year will offset losses from the drop in 30 Year's long position.
The idea behind Brent Crude Oil and 30 Year Treasury pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

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