Correlation Between 30 Year and Brent Crude

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both 30 Year and Brent Crude at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining 30 Year and Brent Crude into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between 30 Year Treasury and Brent Crude Oil, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on 30 Year and Brent Crude and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in 30 Year with a short position of Brent Crude. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of 30 Year and Brent Crude.

Diversification Opportunities for 30 Year and Brent Crude

-0.05
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between ZBUSD and Brent is -0.05. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding 30 Year Treasury and Brent Crude Oil in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Brent Crude Oil and 30 Year is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on 30 Year Treasury are associated (or correlated) with Brent Crude. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Brent Crude Oil has no effect on the direction of 30 Year i.e., 30 Year and Brent Crude go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between 30 Year and Brent Crude

Assuming the 90 days horizon 30 Year Treasury is expected to under-perform the Brent Crude. But the commodity apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, 30 Year Treasury is 2.36 times less risky than Brent Crude. The commodity trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Brent Crude Oil is currently generating about 0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  7,250  in Brent Crude Oil on August 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  209.00  from holding Brent Crude Oil or generate 2.88% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

30 Year Treasury  vs.  Brent Crude Oil

 Performance 
       Timeline  
30 Year Treasury 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days 30 Year Treasury has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Commodity's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for 30 Year Treasury shareholders.
Brent Crude Oil 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Brent Crude Oil has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Brent Crude is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

30 Year and Brent Crude Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with 30 Year and Brent Crude

The main advantage of trading using opposite 30 Year and Brent Crude positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if 30 Year position performs unexpectedly, Brent Crude can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Brent Crude will offset losses from the drop in Brent Crude's long position.
The idea behind 30 Year Treasury and Brent Crude Oil pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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