Correlation Between Cocoa and Aluminum Futures

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cocoa and Aluminum Futures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cocoa and Aluminum Futures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cocoa and Aluminum Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cocoa and Aluminum Futures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cocoa with a short position of Aluminum Futures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cocoa and Aluminum Futures.

Diversification Opportunities for Cocoa and Aluminum Futures

-0.04
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cocoa and Aluminum is -0.04. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cocoa and Aluminum Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Aluminum Futures and Cocoa is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cocoa are associated (or correlated) with Aluminum Futures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Aluminum Futures has no effect on the direction of Cocoa i.e., Cocoa and Aluminum Futures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cocoa and Aluminum Futures

Assuming the 90 days horizon Cocoa is expected to generate 2.66 times more return on investment than Aluminum Futures. However, Cocoa is 2.66 times more volatile than Aluminum Futures. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Aluminum Futures is currently generating about 0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  262,100  in Cocoa on November 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  837,000  from holding Cocoa or generate 319.34% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy99.02%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cocoa  vs.  Aluminum Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cocoa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cocoa are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Cocoa exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Aluminum Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aluminum Futures are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound forward indicators, Aluminum Futures is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Cocoa and Aluminum Futures Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cocoa and Aluminum Futures

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cocoa and Aluminum Futures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cocoa position performs unexpectedly, Aluminum Futures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aluminum Futures will offset losses from the drop in Aluminum Futures' long position.
The idea behind Cocoa and Aluminum Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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