Correlation Between Ampol and Valero Energy

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ampol and Valero Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ampol and Valero Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ampol Ltd ADR and Valero Energy, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ampol and Valero Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ampol with a short position of Valero Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ampol and Valero Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for Ampol and Valero Energy

0.28
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ampol and Valero is 0.28. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ampol Ltd ADR and Valero Energy in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Valero Energy and Ampol is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ampol Ltd ADR are associated (or correlated) with Valero Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Valero Energy has no effect on the direction of Ampol i.e., Ampol and Valero Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ampol and Valero Energy

Assuming the 90 days horizon Ampol Ltd ADR is expected to under-perform the Valero Energy. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Ampol Ltd ADR is 1.12 times less risky than Valero Energy. The pink sheet trades about -0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Valero Energy is currently generating about -0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  15,187  in Valero Energy on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,173) from holding Valero Energy or give up 7.72% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ampol Ltd ADR  vs.  Valero Energy

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ampol Ltd ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ampol Ltd ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Ampol is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Valero Energy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Valero Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy essential indicators, Valero Energy is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Ampol and Valero Energy Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ampol and Valero Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ampol and Valero Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ampol position performs unexpectedly, Valero Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Valero Energy will offset losses from the drop in Valero Energy's long position.
The idea behind Ampol Ltd ADR and Valero Energy pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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