Valero Energy Stock Performance

VLO Stock  USD 199.50  1.88  0.93%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Valero Energy holds a performance score of 8. The entity has a beta of 0.35, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Valero Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Valero Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Valero Energy's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Valero Energy's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Valero Energy are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile essential indicators, Valero Energy displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.93)
Five Day Return
3.57
Year To Date Return
20.68
Ten Year Return
263.52
All Time Return
11.6 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0237
Payout Ratio
0.431
Last Split Factor
1094:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
4.8
Dividend Date
2026-03-09
 
Valero Energy dividend paid on 18th of December 2025
12/18/2025
1
Insider Trading
12/31/2025
2
Unique, bizarre and unfathomable Couple receive light sentences after using knives and meat cleavers to kill, dismember husband and wife
01/16/2026
3
Valero Energy Downgraded to Hold Rating by Zacks Research
01/22/2026
4
Valero outlines 1.7B capital investment plan for 2026 while advancing optimization projects
01/29/2026
5
Valero Energy Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
01/30/2026
6
Stock Indexes Climb as Chip Makers and AI Infrastructure Stocks Rebound
02/02/2026
7
Marathon Petroleum Beats Earnings Expectations as Refining Margins Surge
02/03/2026
8
Police looking for suspect who stole vehicle left running at gas station
02/04/2026
9
Is Valero Energy Still Attractive After Strong 1-Year Share Price Rally
02/05/2026
10
A Look At Valero Energy Valuation After Strong Fourth Quarter Earnings Performance
02/06/2026
11
3 Refining Marketing Stocks Investors Should Track Closely
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow5.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2 B

Valero Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  17,362  in Valero Energy on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,588  from holding Valero Energy or generate 14.91% return on investment over 90 days. Valero Energy is generating 0.2581% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.3353% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Valero, and above 95% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Valero Energy is expected to generate 3.0 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.0 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Valero Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Valero Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 199.50 90 days 199.50 
about 1.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Valero Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.17 (This Valero Energy probability density function shows the probability of Valero Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Valero Energy has a beta of 0.35. This entails as returns on the market go up, Valero Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Valero Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Valero Energy has an alpha of 0.2464, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Valero Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Valero Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Valero Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
196.63198.97201.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
178.58214.19216.53
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
180.38198.22220.03
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.881.632.71
Details

Valero Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Valero Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Valero Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Valero Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Valero Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
9.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Valero Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Valero Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Valero Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 18th of December 2025 Valero Energy paid $ 1.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 3 Refining Marketing Stocks Investors Should Track Closely

Valero Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Valero Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Valero Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Valero Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding309 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.7 B

Valero Energy Fundamentals Growth

Valero Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Valero Energy, and Valero Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Valero Stock performance.

About Valero Energy Performance

By examining Valero Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Valero Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Valero Energy is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 23.62  30.91 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.08 

Things to note about Valero Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Valero Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Valero Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 18th of December 2025 Valero Energy paid $ 1.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 3 Refining Marketing Stocks Investors Should Track Closely
Evaluating Valero Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Valero Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Valero Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Valero Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Valero Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Valero Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Valero Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Valero Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Valero Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Valero Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Valero Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Valero Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Valero Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Valero Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Valero Energy Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Valero Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
To learn how to invest in Valero Stock, please use our How to Invest in Valero Energy guide.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Valero diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valero Energy. If investors know Valero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Valero Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.196
Dividend Share
4.52
Earnings Share
7.51
Revenue Per Share
397.045
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.039
The market value of Valero Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valero Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valero Energy's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Valero Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valero Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valero Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valero Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Valero Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.