Correlation Between Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Evans Bancorp with a short position of First Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp

0.81
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Evans and First is 0.81. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Bancorp and Evans Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Evans Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Evans Bancorp i.e., Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Evans Bancorp is expected to generate 1.25 times less return on investment than First Bancorp. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Evans Bancorp is 1.17 times less risky than First Bancorp. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Bancorp is currently generating about 0.23 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,267  in First Bancorp on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  653.00  from holding First Bancorp or generate 15.3% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Evans Bancorp  vs.  First Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Evans Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Evans Bancorp are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating fundamental drivers, Evans Bancorp displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, First Bancorp exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Evans Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, First Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in First Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Evans Bancorp and First Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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