Correlation Between First Business and Independent Bank

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Business and Independent Bank at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Business and Independent Bank into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Business Financial and Independent Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Business and Independent Bank and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Business with a short position of Independent Bank. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Business and Independent Bank.

Diversification Opportunities for First Business and Independent Bank

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Independent is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Business Financial and Independent Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Independent Bank and First Business is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Business Financial are associated (or correlated) with Independent Bank. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Independent Bank has no effect on the direction of First Business i.e., First Business and Independent Bank go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Business and Independent Bank

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Business is expected to generate 1.13 times less return on investment than Independent Bank. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, First Business Financial is 1.11 times less risky than Independent Bank. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Independent Bank is currently generating about 0.2 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,293  in Independent Bank on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  535.00  from holding Independent Bank or generate 16.25% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Business Financial  vs.  Independent Bank

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Business Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Business Financial are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, First Business showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Independent Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Independent Bank are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively fragile fundamental indicators, Independent Bank reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Business and Independent Bank Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Business and Independent Bank

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Business and Independent Bank positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Business position performs unexpectedly, Independent Bank can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Independent Bank will offset losses from the drop in Independent Bank's long position.
The idea behind First Business Financial and Independent Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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