First Business Financial Stock Performance

FBIZ Stock  USD 59.85  0.34  0.57%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, First Business holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.91, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. First Business returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Business is expected to follow. Please check First Business' potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether First Business' price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Business Financial are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady forward indicators, First Business showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.57
Five Day Return
5.74
Year To Date Return
11.7
Ten Year Return
177.21
All Time Return
360.38
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0202
Payout Ratio
0.2034
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.21
Dividend Date
2026-02-28
1
Disposition of 6344 shares by Hartlieb James Edward of First Business at 43.1481 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2025
 
First Business dividend paid on 3rd of December 2025
12/03/2025
2
Will First Business Financial Services Inc. stock attract more institutional investors - Weekly Investment Report Free Weekly Chart Analysis and Trade Guides - ...
01/08/2026
3
First Business Financial Services Stock Price Crosses Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
01/15/2026
4
Hudson Edge Investment Partners Inc. Decreases Position in Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC
01/22/2026
5
First Business Bank to Participate in Janneys 2026 CEO Forum on February 4-5, 2026
01/28/2026
6
First Business Financial Services declares 0.34 dividend
01/29/2026
7
First Business Financial Services Q4 Earnings Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
01/30/2026
8
Disposition of 6 shares by Brian Spielmann of First Business at 36.06 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
9
First Business Financial Services Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To 0.34
02/03/2026
10
What Catalysts Are Reframing The Narrative For First Business Financial Services
02/05/2026

First Business Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,176  in First Business Financial on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  809.00  from holding First Business Financial or generate 15.63% return on investment over 90 days. First Business Financial is currently generating 0.2512% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.6235% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Business is expected to generate 1.98 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.98 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

First Business Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 59.85 90 days 59.85 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Business to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This First Business Financial probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Business has a beta of 0.91. This usually indicates First Business Financial market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Business is expected to follow. Additionally First Business Financial has an alpha of 0.1865, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Business Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Business

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Business Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.1059.7261.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.8767.4369.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
57.5459.1660.79
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
61.2067.2574.65
Details

First Business Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Business is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Business' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Business Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Business within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
2.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

First Business Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Business for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Business Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: What Catalysts Are Reframing The Narrative For First Business Financial Services

First Business Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments46.7 M

First Business Fundamentals Growth

First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Business, and First Business fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.

About First Business Performance

Evaluating First Business' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if First Business has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Business has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.14  0.08 

Things to note about First Business Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Business for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Business Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: What Catalysts Are Reframing The Narrative For First Business Financial Services
Evaluating First Business' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Business' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing First Business' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Business' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Business' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Business' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Business' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Business' stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Business' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Business' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Business' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for First Stock Analysis

When running First Business' price analysis, check to measure First Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Business is operating at the current time. Most of First Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.