Correlation Between Farmers National and First Merchants

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Farmers National and First Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Farmers National and First Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Farmers National Banc and First Merchants, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Farmers National and First Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Farmers National with a short position of First Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Farmers National and First Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for Farmers National and First Merchants

0.68
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Farmers and First is 0.68. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Farmers National Banc and First Merchants in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Merchants and Farmers National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Farmers National Banc are associated (or correlated) with First Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Merchants has no effect on the direction of Farmers National i.e., Farmers National and First Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Farmers National and First Merchants

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmers National is expected to generate 1.54 times less return on investment than First Merchants. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Farmers National Banc is 1.1 times less risky than First Merchants. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Merchants is currently generating about 0.24 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,716  in First Merchants on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  713.00  from holding First Merchants or generate 19.19% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Farmers National Banc  vs.  First Merchants

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Farmers National Banc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Farmers National Banc are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Farmers National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
First Merchants 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Merchants are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak primary indicators, First Merchants exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Farmers National and First Merchants Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Farmers National and First Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite Farmers National and First Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Farmers National position performs unexpectedly, First Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Merchants will offset losses from the drop in First Merchants' long position.
The idea behind Farmers National Banc and First Merchants pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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