Correlation Between First Ottawa and Citizens Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Ottawa and Citizens Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Ottawa and Citizens Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Ottawa Bancshares and Citizens Bancorp Investment, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Ottawa and Citizens Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Ottawa with a short position of Citizens Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Ottawa and Citizens Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for First Ottawa and Citizens Bancorp

-0.62
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Citizens is -0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Ottawa Bancshares and Citizens Bancorp Investment in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Citizens Bancorp Inv and First Ottawa is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Ottawa Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Citizens Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Citizens Bancorp Inv has no effect on the direction of First Ottawa i.e., First Ottawa and Citizens Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Ottawa and Citizens Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Ottawa Bancshares is expected to generate 1.11 times more return on investment than Citizens Bancorp. However, First Ottawa is 1.11 times more volatile than Citizens Bancorp Investment. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Citizens Bancorp Investment is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  9,835  in First Ottawa Bancshares on August 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,166  from holding First Ottawa Bancshares or generate 22.02% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy70.82%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Ottawa Bancshares  vs.  Citizens Bancorp Investment

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Ottawa Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Ottawa Bancshares are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat conflicting basic indicators, First Ottawa may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Citizens Bancorp Inv 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Citizens Bancorp Investment has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Citizens Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

First Ottawa and Citizens Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Ottawa and Citizens Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Ottawa and Citizens Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Ottawa position performs unexpectedly, Citizens Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Citizens Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Citizens Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind First Ottawa Bancshares and Citizens Bancorp Investment pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

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