Correlation Between FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in FAIR ISAAC with a short position of Assured Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty

0.59
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between FAIR and Assured is 0.59. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Assured Guaranty and FAIR ISAAC is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on FAIR ISAAC are associated (or correlated) with Assured Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Assured Guaranty has no effect on the direction of FAIR ISAAC i.e., FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FAIR ISAAC is expected to under-perform the Assured Guaranty. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, FAIR ISAAC is 1.44 times less risky than Assured Guaranty. The stock trades about -0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Assured Guaranty is currently generating about 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  8,400  in Assured Guaranty on October 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  500.00  from holding Assured Guaranty or generate 5.95% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy94.12%
ValuesDaily Returns

FAIR ISAAC  vs.  Assured Guaranty

 Performance 
       Timeline  
FAIR ISAAC 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days FAIR ISAAC has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound forward indicators, FAIR ISAAC is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Assured Guaranty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Assured Guaranty are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Assured Guaranty reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if FAIR ISAAC position performs unexpectedly, Assured Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Assured Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in Assured Guaranty's long position.
The idea behind FAIR ISAAC and Assured Guaranty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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