Correlation Between First United and HMN Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First United and HMN Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First United and HMN Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First United and HMN Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First United and HMN Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First United with a short position of HMN Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First United and HMN Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for First United and HMN Financial

0.63
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and HMN is 0.63. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First United and HMN Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on HMN Financial and First United is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First United are associated (or correlated) with HMN Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of HMN Financial has no effect on the direction of First United i.e., First United and HMN Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First United and HMN Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First United is expected to generate 0.58 times more return on investment than HMN Financial. However, First United is 1.72 times less risky than HMN Financial. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. HMN Financial is currently generating about 0.1 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,157  in First United on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,340  from holding First United or generate 62.12% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy82.98%
ValuesDaily Returns

First United  vs.  HMN Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First United 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

20 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First United are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating basic indicators, First United exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
HMN Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Over the last 90 days HMN Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, HMN Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

First United and HMN Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First United and HMN Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite First United and HMN Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First United position performs unexpectedly, HMN Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in HMN Financial will offset losses from the drop in HMN Financial's long position.
The idea behind First United and HMN Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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