Correlation Between HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in HMN Financial with a short position of Plumas Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp

0.6
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between HMN and Plumas is 0.6. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Plumas Bancorp and HMN Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on HMN Financial are associated (or correlated) with Plumas Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Plumas Bancorp has no effect on the direction of HMN Financial i.e., HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days HMN Financial is expected to generate 1.12 times less return on investment than Plumas Bancorp. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, HMN Financial is 1.06 times less risky than Plumas Bancorp. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Plumas Bancorp is currently generating about 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,448  in Plumas Bancorp on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,498  from holding Plumas Bancorp or generate 43.45% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy73.02%
ValuesDaily Returns

HMN Financial  vs.  Plumas Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
HMN Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Over the last 90 days HMN Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, HMN Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Plumas Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Plumas Bancorp are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental drivers, Plumas Bancorp exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if HMN Financial position performs unexpectedly, Plumas Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Plumas Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Plumas Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind HMN Financial and Plumas Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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