Correlation Between Alliance Data and FirstGroup Plc

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Alliance Data and FirstGroup Plc at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Alliance Data and FirstGroup Plc into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Alliance Data Systems and FirstGroup plc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Alliance Data and FirstGroup Plc and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Alliance Data with a short position of FirstGroup Plc. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Alliance Data and FirstGroup Plc.

Diversification Opportunities for Alliance Data and FirstGroup Plc

0.81
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Alliance and FirstGroup is 0.81. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Alliance Data Systems and FirstGroup plc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on FirstGroup plc and Alliance Data is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Alliance Data Systems are associated (or correlated) with FirstGroup Plc. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of FirstGroup plc has no effect on the direction of Alliance Data i.e., Alliance Data and FirstGroup Plc go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Alliance Data and FirstGroup Plc

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alliance Data is expected to generate 1.22 times less return on investment than FirstGroup Plc. In addition to that, Alliance Data is 1.17 times more volatile than FirstGroup plc. It trades about 0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. FirstGroup plc is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  185.00  in FirstGroup plc on November 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  9.00  from holding FirstGroup plc or generate 4.86% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy97.5%
ValuesDaily Returns

Alliance Data Systems  vs.  FirstGroup plc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Alliance Data Systems 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Alliance Data Systems are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak fundamental indicators, Alliance Data unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
FirstGroup plc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FirstGroup plc are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, FirstGroup Plc reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Alliance Data and FirstGroup Plc Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Alliance Data and FirstGroup Plc

The main advantage of trading using opposite Alliance Data and FirstGroup Plc positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Alliance Data position performs unexpectedly, FirstGroup Plc can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in FirstGroup Plc will offset losses from the drop in FirstGroup Plc's long position.
The idea behind Alliance Data Systems and FirstGroup plc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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