FirstGroup Plc (Germany) Performance

FGR Stock  EUR 2.12  0.01  0.47%   
FirstGroup Plc has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, FirstGroup Plc's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding FirstGroup Plc is expected to be smaller as well. FirstGroup plc right now shows a risk of 1.25%. Please confirm FirstGroup plc potential upside, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to decide if FirstGroup plc will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FirstGroup plc are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, FirstGroup Plc may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2026. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.038
Payout Ratio
0.3037
Forward Dividend Rate
0.08
Ex Dividend Date
2025-11-27
1
Will FirstGroup plc stock deliver stable dividends - Weekly Risk Report High Yield Equity Trading Tips - Newser
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2
FirstGroup PLC Stock Analysis Exploring a 33 percent Potential Upside With Robust Dividend Yield - DirectorsTalk Interviews
12/16/2025
3
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01/08/2026
  

FirstGroup Plc Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  199.00  in FirstGroup plc on December 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  13.00  from holding FirstGroup plc or generate 6.53% return on investment over 90 days. FirstGroup plc is currently producing 0.1132% returns and takes up 1.2483% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 11% of traded stocks are less volatile than FirstGroup, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon FirstGroup Plc is expected to generate 1.65 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.65 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

FirstGroup Plc Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of FirstGroup Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.12 90 days 2.12 
about 55.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FirstGroup Plc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 55.55 (This FirstGroup plc probability density function shows the probability of FirstGroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FirstGroup Plc has a beta of 0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FirstGroup Plc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FirstGroup plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FirstGroup plc has an alpha of 0.0799, implying that it can generate a 0.0799 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FirstGroup Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FirstGroup Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FirstGroup plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.872.123.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.862.113.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.792.033.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.122.122.12
Details

FirstGroup Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FirstGroup Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FirstGroup Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FirstGroup plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FirstGroup Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

FirstGroup Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FirstGroup Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FirstGroup plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FirstGroup plc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

FirstGroup Plc Fundamentals Growth

FirstGroup Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of FirstGroup Plc, and FirstGroup Plc fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on FirstGroup Stock performance.

About FirstGroup Plc Performance

By analyzing FirstGroup Plc's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into FirstGroup Plc's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if FirstGroup Plc has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if FirstGroup Plc has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The companys First Student segment provides student transportation services through a fleet of approximately 44,000 yellow school buses in North America. FirstGroup plc was incorporated in 1995 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. FIRSTGRP PLC operates under Trucking classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 108722 people.

Things to note about FirstGroup plc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about FirstGroup Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for FirstGroup plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FirstGroup plc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating FirstGroup Plc's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate FirstGroup Plc's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing FirstGroup Plc's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether FirstGroup Plc's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining FirstGroup Plc's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating FirstGroup Plc's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of FirstGroup Plc's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of FirstGroup Plc's stock. These opinions can provide insight into FirstGroup Plc's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating FirstGroup Plc's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact FirstGroup Plc's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for FirstGroup Stock analysis

When running FirstGroup Plc's price analysis, check to measure FirstGroup Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FirstGroup Plc is operating at the current time. Most of FirstGroup Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FirstGroup Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FirstGroup Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FirstGroup Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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