Correlation Between Lancashire Holdings and Assured Guaranty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Lancashire Holdings and Assured Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Lancashire Holdings and Assured Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Lancashire Holdings Limited and Assured Guaranty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Lancashire Holdings and Assured Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Lancashire Holdings with a short position of Assured Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Lancashire Holdings and Assured Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for Lancashire Holdings and Assured Guaranty

0.23
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Lancashire and Assured is 0.23. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Lancashire Holdings Limited and Assured Guaranty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Assured Guaranty and Lancashire Holdings is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Lancashire Holdings Limited are associated (or correlated) with Assured Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Assured Guaranty has no effect on the direction of Lancashire Holdings i.e., Lancashire Holdings and Assured Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Lancashire Holdings and Assured Guaranty

Assuming the 90 days horizon Lancashire Holdings is expected to generate 1.69 times less return on investment than Assured Guaranty. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Lancashire Holdings Limited is 1.25 times less risky than Assured Guaranty. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Assured Guaranty is currently generating about 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  7,224  in Assured Guaranty on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,426  from holding Assured Guaranty or generate 19.74% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy98.46%
ValuesDaily Returns

Lancashire Holdings Limited  vs.  Assured Guaranty

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Lancashire Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Lancashire Holdings Limited are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Lancashire Holdings may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Assured Guaranty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Assured Guaranty are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Assured Guaranty reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Lancashire Holdings and Assured Guaranty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Lancashire Holdings and Assured Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Lancashire Holdings and Assured Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Lancashire Holdings position performs unexpectedly, Assured Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Assured Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in Assured Guaranty's long position.
The idea behind Lancashire Holdings Limited and Assured Guaranty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

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