Correlation Between Natural Alternatives and Triad Guaranty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Natural Alternatives and Triad Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Natural Alternatives and Triad Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Natural Alternatives International and Triad Guaranty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Natural Alternatives and Triad Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Natural Alternatives with a short position of Triad Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Natural Alternatives and Triad Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for Natural Alternatives and Triad Guaranty

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  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Natural and Triad is 0.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Natural Alternatives Internati and Triad Guaranty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Triad Guaranty and Natural Alternatives is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Natural Alternatives International are associated (or correlated) with Triad Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Triad Guaranty has no effect on the direction of Natural Alternatives i.e., Natural Alternatives and Triad Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Natural Alternatives and Triad Guaranty

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Natural Alternatives International is expected to under-perform the Triad Guaranty. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Natural Alternatives International is 20.25 times less risky than Triad Guaranty. The stock trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Triad Guaranty is currently generating about 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  0.11  in Triad Guaranty on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (0.09) from holding Triad Guaranty or give up 81.82% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionFlat 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Natural Alternatives Internati  vs.  Triad Guaranty

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Natural Alternatives 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Natural Alternatives International has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders.
Triad Guaranty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Triad Guaranty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound forward indicators, Triad Guaranty is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Natural Alternatives and Triad Guaranty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Natural Alternatives and Triad Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Natural Alternatives and Triad Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Natural Alternatives position performs unexpectedly, Triad Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Triad Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in Triad Guaranty's long position.
The idea behind Natural Alternatives International and Triad Guaranty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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