Correlation Between Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Assured Guaranty with a short position of Triad Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty

0.0
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Assured and Triad is 0.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Triad Guaranty and Assured Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Assured Guaranty are associated (or correlated) with Triad Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Triad Guaranty has no effect on the direction of Assured Guaranty i.e., Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty

If you would invest  8,256  in Assured Guaranty on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,072  from holding Assured Guaranty or generate 12.98% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionFlat 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Assured Guaranty  vs.  Triad Guaranty

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Assured Guaranty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Assured Guaranty are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile technical and fundamental indicators, Assured Guaranty displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Triad Guaranty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Triad Guaranty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound forward indicators, Triad Guaranty is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Assured Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, Triad Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Triad Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in Triad Guaranty's long position.
The idea behind Assured Guaranty and Triad Guaranty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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