Correlation Between Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial Services, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Northwest Bancshares with a short position of Provident Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial

0.96
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Northwest and Provident is 0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial Services in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Provident Financial and Northwest Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Northwest Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Provident Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Provident Financial has no effect on the direction of Northwest Bancshares i.e., Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial

Assuming the 90 days horizon Northwest Bancshares is expected to generate 1.34 times less return on investment than Provident Financial. In addition to that, Northwest Bancshares is 1.27 times more volatile than Provident Financial Services. It trades about 0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Provident Financial Services is currently generating about 0.23 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,591  in Provident Financial Services on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  399.00  from holding Provident Financial Services or generate 25.08% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Northwest Bancshares  vs.  Provident Financial Services

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Northwest Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northwest Bancshares are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Northwest Bancshares reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Provident Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Provident Financial Services are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Provident Financial reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Northwest Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, Provident Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Provident Financial will offset losses from the drop in Provident Financial's long position.
The idea behind Northwest Bancshares and Provident Financial Services pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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