Correlation Between Northwest Natural and Spire

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Northwest Natural and Spire at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Northwest Natural and Spire into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Northwest Natural Gas and Spire Inc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Northwest Natural and Spire and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Northwest Natural with a short position of Spire. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Northwest Natural and Spire.

Diversification Opportunities for Northwest Natural and Spire

0.65
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Northwest and Spire is 0.65. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Northwest Natural Gas and Spire Inc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Spire Inc and Northwest Natural is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Northwest Natural Gas are associated (or correlated) with Spire. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Spire Inc has no effect on the direction of Northwest Natural i.e., Northwest Natural and Spire go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Northwest Natural and Spire

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Northwest Natural is expected to generate 2.65 times less return on investment than Spire. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Northwest Natural Gas is 1.16 times less risky than Spire. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Spire Inc is currently generating about 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  6,467  in Spire Inc on November 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  697.00  from holding Spire Inc or generate 10.78% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Northwest Natural Gas  vs.  Spire Inc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Northwest Natural Gas 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northwest Natural Gas are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Northwest Natural is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Spire Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Spire Inc are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Spire reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Northwest Natural and Spire Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Northwest Natural and Spire

The main advantage of trading using opposite Northwest Natural and Spire positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Northwest Natural position performs unexpectedly, Spire can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Spire will offset losses from the drop in Spire's long position.
The idea behind Northwest Natural Gas and Spire Inc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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