Spire Inc Stock Price Prediction
| SR Stock | USD 71.64 2.19 3.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.075 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4821 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.5021 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.9435 | Wall Street Target Price 71.85 |
Using Spire hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spire Inc from the perspective of Spire response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Spire using Spire's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Spire using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Spire's stock price.
Spire Short Interest
An investor who is long Spire may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Spire and may potentially protect profits, hedge Spire with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 64.7226 | Short Percent 0.0447 | Short Ratio 4.32 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 68.91 |
Spire Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Spire's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Spire. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Spire can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Spire Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Spire's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Spire.
Spire Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Spire's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Spire Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Spire's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Spire stock will not fluctuate a lot when Spire's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Spire to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Spire because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Spire after-hype prediction price | USD 70.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Spire contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Spire Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Spire trading at USD 71.64, that is roughly USD 0.0224 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Spire's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Spire Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Spire |
Spire After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spire at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spire or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spire, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Spire Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spire's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spire's historical news coverage. Spire's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.90 and 72.36, respectively. We have considered Spire's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spire is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spire Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spire Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spire is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spire backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spire, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.73 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
71.64 | 70.63 | 1.41 |
|
Spire Hype Timeline
As of January 31, 2025 Spire Inc is listed for 71.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Spire is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 70.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 46.13%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.41%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Spire is about 3760.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.63. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.34. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Spire Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of December 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 8th of March 1994. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Spire Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Spire Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spire's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spire's future price movements. Getting to know how Spire's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spire may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NWN | Northwest Natural Gas | 0.02 | 8 per month | 1.38 | (0.05) | 2.01 | (2.20) | 9.06 | |
| CPK | Chesapeake Utilities | 0.37 | 7 per month | 1.53 | (0.03) | 2.40 | (2.38) | 8.69 | |
| OGS | One Gas | 1.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.28 | (2.06) | 10.43 | |
| NIMC | NiSource Unit | 0.44 | 3 per month | 0.78 | (0.12) | 1.07 | (1.11) | 5.53 | |
| UGIC | UGI Corp Unit | (0.86) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.61 | (3.02) | 12.21 | |
| NJR | NewJersey Resources | 0.08 | 11 per month | 1.29 | (0.02) | 2.13 | (2.27) | 7.20 | |
| NI | NiSource | (0.63) | 10 per month | 1.17 | 0.02 | 2.08 | (2.04) | 6.69 | |
| RGCO | RGC Resources | 0.17 | 9 per month | 2.11 | 0 | 3.03 | (3.59) | 18.11 | |
| ATO | Atmos Energy | (1.28) | 11 per month | 1.18 | (0.07) | 2.06 | (1.78) | 5.58 | |
| UGI | UGI Corporation | 0.14 | 9 per month | 1.39 | 0.12 | 2.88 | (2.20) | 20.32 |
Spire Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Spire Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Spire stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Spire Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Spire based on analysis of Spire hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Spire's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Spire's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0557 | 0.0482 | 0.0554 | 0.0503 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.11 | 1.46 | 1.31 | 0.68 |
Story Coverage note for Spire
The number of cover stories for Spire depends on current market conditions and Spire's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spire is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spire's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Spire Short Properties
Spire's future price predictability will typically decrease when Spire's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spire Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spire's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spire's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 M |
Additional Tools for Spire Stock Analysis
When running Spire's price analysis, check to measure Spire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spire is operating at the current time. Most of Spire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.