Correlation Between Northwest Natural and UGI

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Northwest Natural and UGI at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Northwest Natural and UGI into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Northwest Natural Gas and UGI Corporation, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Northwest Natural and UGI and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Northwest Natural with a short position of UGI. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Northwest Natural and UGI.

Diversification Opportunities for Northwest Natural and UGI

0.15
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between Northwest and UGI is 0.15. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Northwest Natural Gas and UGI Corp. in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on UGI Corporation and Northwest Natural is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Northwest Natural Gas are associated (or correlated) with UGI. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of UGI Corporation has no effect on the direction of Northwest Natural i.e., Northwest Natural and UGI go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Northwest Natural and UGI

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Northwest Natural is expected to generate 17.45 times less return on investment than UGI. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Northwest Natural Gas is 1.4 times less risky than UGI. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. UGI Corporation is currently generating about 0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,118  in UGI Corporation on November 1, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (19.00) from holding UGI Corporation or give up 0.61% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Northwest Natural Gas  vs.  UGI Corp.

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Northwest Natural Gas 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northwest Natural Gas are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Northwest Natural is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
UGI Corporation 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in UGI Corporation are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, UGI demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Northwest Natural and UGI Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Northwest Natural and UGI

The main advantage of trading using opposite Northwest Natural and UGI positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Northwest Natural position performs unexpectedly, UGI can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in UGI will offset losses from the drop in UGI's long position.
The idea behind Northwest Natural Gas and UGI Corporation pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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