Correlation Between Orange County and First Capital

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Orange County and First Capital at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Orange County and First Capital into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Orange County Bancorp and First Capital, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Orange County and First Capital and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Orange County with a short position of First Capital. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Orange County and First Capital.

Diversification Opportunities for Orange County and First Capital

0.03
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Orange and First is 0.03. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Orange County Bancorp and First Capital in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Capital and Orange County is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Orange County Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Capital. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Capital has no effect on the direction of Orange County i.e., Orange County and First Capital go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Orange County and First Capital

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Orange County Bancorp is expected to under-perform the First Capital. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Orange County Bancorp is 1.09 times less risky than First Capital. The stock trades about -0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The First Capital is currently generating about -0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,464  in First Capital on November 8, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (115.00) from holding First Capital or give up 3.32% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Orange County Bancorp  vs.  First Capital

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Orange County Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Orange County Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest conflicting performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors.
First Capital 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Capital has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, First Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Orange County and First Capital Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Orange County and First Capital

The main advantage of trading using opposite Orange County and First Capital positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Orange County position performs unexpectedly, First Capital can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Capital will offset losses from the drop in First Capital's long position.
The idea behind Orange County Bancorp and First Capital pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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