Correlation Between Old National and CNB Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old National and CNB Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old National and CNB Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old National Bancorp and CNB Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old National and CNB Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old National with a short position of CNB Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old National and CNB Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Old National and CNB Financial

0.48
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and CNB is 0.48. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old National Bancorp and CNB Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on CNB Financial and Old National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old National Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with CNB Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of CNB Financial has no effect on the direction of Old National i.e., Old National and CNB Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old National and CNB Financial

Assuming the 90 days horizon Old National is expected to generate 1.77 times less return on investment than CNB Financial. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Old National Bancorp is 1.16 times less risky than CNB Financial. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. CNB Financial is currently generating about 0.17 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,407  in CNB Financial on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  85.00  from holding CNB Financial or generate 3.53% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Old National Bancorp  vs.  CNB Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Old National Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old National Bancorp are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Old National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
CNB Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CNB Financial are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively inconsistent technical and fundamental indicators, CNB Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Old National and CNB Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Old National and CNB Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old National and CNB Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old National position performs unexpectedly, CNB Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CNB Financial will offset losses from the drop in CNB Financial's long position.
The idea behind Old National Bancorp and CNB Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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