Correlation Between Philip Morris and Turning Point

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Philip Morris and Turning Point at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Philip Morris and Turning Point into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Philip Morris International and Turning Point Brands, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Philip Morris and Turning Point and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Philip Morris with a short position of Turning Point. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Philip Morris and Turning Point.

Diversification Opportunities for Philip Morris and Turning Point

0.62
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Philip and Turning is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Philip Morris International and Turning Point Brands in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Turning Point Brands and Philip Morris is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Philip Morris International are associated (or correlated) with Turning Point. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Turning Point Brands has no effect on the direction of Philip Morris i.e., Philip Morris and Turning Point go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Philip Morris and Turning Point

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Philip Morris is expected to generate 61.56 times less return on investment than Turning Point. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Philip Morris International is 1.39 times less risky than Turning Point. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Turning Point Brands is currently generating about 0.56 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,673  in Turning Point Brands on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,438  from holding Turning Point Brands or generate 30.77% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Philip Morris International  vs.  Turning Point Brands

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Philip Morris Intern 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Philip Morris International are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very inconsistent primary indicators, Philip Morris may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Turning Point Brands 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

27 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Turning Point Brands are ranked lower than 27 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat abnormal basic indicators, Turning Point sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Philip Morris and Turning Point Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Philip Morris and Turning Point

The main advantage of trading using opposite Philip Morris and Turning Point positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Philip Morris position performs unexpectedly, Turning Point can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Turning Point will offset losses from the drop in Turning Point's long position.
The idea behind Philip Morris International and Turning Point Brands pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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