Correlation Between Us Government and Third Avenue

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Us Government and Third Avenue at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Us Government and Third Avenue into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Us Government Securities and Third Avenue Small, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Us Government and Third Avenue and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Us Government with a short position of Third Avenue. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Us Government and Third Avenue.

Diversification Opportunities for Us Government and Third Avenue

-0.57
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between RGVCX and Third is -0.57. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Us Government Securities and Third Avenue Small in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Third Avenue Small and Us Government is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Us Government Securities are associated (or correlated) with Third Avenue. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Third Avenue Small has no effect on the direction of Us Government i.e., Us Government and Third Avenue go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Us Government and Third Avenue

Assuming the 90 days horizon Us Government is expected to generate 3.79 times less return on investment than Third Avenue. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Us Government Securities is 3.54 times less risky than Third Avenue. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Third Avenue Small is currently generating about 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,061  in Third Avenue Small on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  197.00  from holding Third Avenue Small or generate 9.56% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Us Government Securities  vs.  Third Avenue Small

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Us Government Securities 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Us Government Securities has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Us Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Third Avenue Small 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Third Avenue Small are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Third Avenue is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Us Government and Third Avenue Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Us Government and Third Avenue

The main advantage of trading using opposite Us Government and Third Avenue positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Us Government position performs unexpectedly, Third Avenue can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Third Avenue will offset losses from the drop in Third Avenue's long position.
The idea behind Us Government Securities and Third Avenue Small pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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