Correlation Between Stepan and Ardagh

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Stepan and Ardagh at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Stepan and Ardagh into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Stepan Company and Ardagh Holdings USA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Stepan and Ardagh and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Stepan with a short position of Ardagh. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Stepan and Ardagh.

Diversification Opportunities for Stepan and Ardagh

-0.02
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Stepan and Ardagh is -0.02. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Stepan Company and Ardagh Holdings USA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ardagh Holdings USA and Stepan is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Stepan Company are associated (or correlated) with Ardagh. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ardagh Holdings USA has no effect on the direction of Stepan i.e., Stepan and Ardagh go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Stepan and Ardagh

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Stepan Company is expected to under-perform the Ardagh. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Stepan Company is 32.33 times less risky than Ardagh. The stock trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Ardagh Holdings USA is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  8,448  in Ardagh Holdings USA on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (2,998) from holding Ardagh Holdings USA or give up 35.49% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy80.21%
ValuesDaily Returns

Stepan Company  vs.  Ardagh Holdings USA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Stepan Company 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Stepan Company are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent fundamental indicators, Stepan is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Ardagh Holdings USA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ardagh Holdings USA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Bond's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for Ardagh Holdings USA investors.

Stepan and Ardagh Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Stepan and Ardagh

The main advantage of trading using opposite Stepan and Ardagh positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Stepan position performs unexpectedly, Ardagh can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ardagh will offset losses from the drop in Ardagh's long position.
The idea behind Stepan Company and Ardagh Holdings USA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

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