Correlation Between Texas Capital and Commerce Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Texas Capital and Commerce Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Texas Capital and Commerce Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Texas Capital Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Texas Capital and Commerce Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Texas Capital with a short position of Commerce Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Texas Capital and Commerce Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Texas Capital and Commerce Bancshares

0.75
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Texas and Commerce is 0.75. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Texas Capital Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Commerce Bancshares and Texas Capital is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Texas Capital Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Commerce Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Commerce Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Texas Capital i.e., Texas Capital and Commerce Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Texas Capital and Commerce Bancshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Texas Capital Bancshares is expected to generate 1.43 times more return on investment than Commerce Bancshares. However, Texas Capital is 1.43 times more volatile than Commerce Bancshares. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Commerce Bancshares is currently generating about 0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  5,726  in Texas Capital Bancshares on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,242  from holding Texas Capital Bancshares or generate 56.62% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Texas Capital Bancshares  vs.  Commerce Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Texas Capital Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Texas Capital Bancshares are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak fundamental drivers, Texas Capital demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Commerce Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerce Bancshares are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly fragile basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Texas Capital and Commerce Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Texas Capital and Commerce Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Texas Capital and Commerce Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Texas Capital position performs unexpectedly, Commerce Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Commerce Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in Commerce Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind Texas Capital Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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