Commerce Bancshares Stock Market Value
| CBSH Stock | USD 55.21 0.04 0.07% |
| Symbol | Commerce |
Is there potential for Regional Banks market expansion? Will Commerce introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commerce Bancshares. Projected growth potential of Commerce fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Commerce Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.06 | Dividend Share 1.1 | Earnings Share 4.04 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.065 |
Investors evaluate Commerce Bancshares using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Commerce Bancshares' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Commerce Bancshares' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Commerce Bancshares' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Commerce Bancshares should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Commerce Bancshares' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Commerce Bancshares 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Commerce Bancshares' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Commerce Bancshares.
| 11/11/2025 |
| 02/09/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Commerce Bancshares on November 11, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Commerce Bancshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in Commerce Bancshares over 90 days. Commerce Bancshares is related to or competes with Cadence Bancorp, BOK Financial, Pinnacle Financial, Valley National, CullenFrost Bankers, Prosperity Bancshares, and UMB Financial. Commerce Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commerce Bank that provides retail, mortgage banking,... More
Commerce Bancshares Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Commerce Bancshares' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Commerce Bancshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0605 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.03) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.4 |
Commerce Bancshares Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Commerce Bancshares' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Commerce Bancshares' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Commerce Bancshares historical prices to predict the future Commerce Bancshares' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1075 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1053 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0291 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0641 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2349 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commerce Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Commerce Bancshares February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1075 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2449 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9739 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 777.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0605 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1053 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0291 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0641 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2349 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.03) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) | |||
| Skewness | (0.09) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.26 |
Commerce Bancshares Backtested Returns
Commerce Bancshares is very steady at the moment. Commerce Bancshares secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0909, which signifies that the company had a 0.0909 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Commerce Bancshares, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Commerce Bancshares' Mean Deviation of 0.9739, risk adjusted performance of 0.1075, and Downside Deviation of 1.24 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Commerce Bancshares has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.68, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Commerce Bancshares' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Commerce Bancshares is expected to be smaller as well. Commerce Bancshares right now shows a risk of 1.33%. Please confirm Commerce Bancshares total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if Commerce Bancshares will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.19 |
Very weak predictability
Commerce Bancshares has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Commerce Bancshares time series from 11th of November 2025 to 26th of December 2025 and 26th of December 2025 to 9th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Commerce Bancshares price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Commerce Bancshares price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.19 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.86 |
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Check out Commerce Bancshares Correlation, Commerce Bancshares Volatility and Commerce Bancshares Performance module to complement your research on Commerce Bancshares. For more detail on how to invest in Commerce Stock please use our How to Invest in Commerce Bancshares guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Commerce Bancshares technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.