Correlation Between Toronto Dominion and Farmers Merchants

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Toronto Dominion and Farmers Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Toronto Dominion and Farmers Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Toronto Dominion Bank and Farmers Merchants Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Toronto Dominion and Farmers Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Toronto Dominion with a short position of Farmers Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Toronto Dominion and Farmers Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for Toronto Dominion and Farmers Merchants

-0.59
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Toronto and Farmers is -0.59. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Toronto Dominion Bank and Farmers Merchants Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Farmers Merchants Bancorp and Toronto Dominion is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Toronto Dominion Bank are associated (or correlated) with Farmers Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Farmers Merchants Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Toronto Dominion i.e., Toronto Dominion and Farmers Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Toronto Dominion and Farmers Merchants

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Toronto Dominion is expected to generate 8.65 times less return on investment than Farmers Merchants. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Toronto Dominion Bank is 4.1 times less risky than Farmers Merchants. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Farmers Merchants Bancorp is currently generating about 0.29 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,781  in Farmers Merchants Bancorp on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  539.00  from holding Farmers Merchants Bancorp or generate 19.38% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Toronto Dominion Bank  vs.  Farmers Merchants Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Toronto Dominion Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Toronto Dominion Bank has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, Toronto Dominion is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Farmers Merchants Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Farmers Merchants Bancorp are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile basic indicators, Farmers Merchants displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Toronto Dominion and Farmers Merchants Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Toronto Dominion and Farmers Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite Toronto Dominion and Farmers Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Toronto Dominion position performs unexpectedly, Farmers Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Farmers Merchants will offset losses from the drop in Farmers Merchants' long position.
The idea behind Toronto Dominion Bank and Farmers Merchants Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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