Correlation Between Tax Exempt and Us Government

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Tax Exempt and Us Government at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Tax Exempt and Us Government into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Tax Exempt Bond and Us Government Securities, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Tax Exempt and Us Government and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Tax Exempt with a short position of Us Government. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Tax Exempt and Us Government.

Diversification Opportunities for Tax Exempt and Us Government

0.72
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Tax and AMUSX is 0.72. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Tax Exempt Bond and Us Government Securities in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Us Government Securities and Tax Exempt is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Tax Exempt Bond are associated (or correlated) with Us Government. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Us Government Securities has no effect on the direction of Tax Exempt i.e., Tax Exempt and Us Government go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Tax Exempt and Us Government

Assuming the 90 days horizon Tax Exempt Bond is expected to generate 0.5 times more return on investment than Us Government. However, Tax Exempt Bond is 1.99 times less risky than Us Government. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Us Government Securities is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,167  in Tax Exempt Bond on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  82.00  from holding Tax Exempt Bond or generate 7.03% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Tax Exempt Bond  vs.  Us Government Securities

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Tax Exempt Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Tax Exempt Bond are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Tax Exempt is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Us Government Securities 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Us Government Securities has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Us Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Tax Exempt and Us Government Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Tax Exempt and Us Government

The main advantage of trading using opposite Tax Exempt and Us Government positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Tax Exempt position performs unexpectedly, Us Government can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Us Government will offset losses from the drop in Us Government's long position.
The idea behind Tax Exempt Bond and Us Government Securities pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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