Correlation Between Triumph Financial and First Republic

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Triumph Financial and First Republic at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Triumph Financial and First Republic into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Triumph Financial and First Republic Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Triumph Financial and First Republic and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Triumph Financial with a short position of First Republic. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Triumph Financial and First Republic.

Diversification Opportunities for Triumph Financial and First Republic

-0.69
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Triumph and First is -0.69. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Triumph Financial and First Republic Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Republic Bank and Triumph Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Triumph Financial are associated (or correlated) with First Republic. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Republic Bank has no effect on the direction of Triumph Financial i.e., Triumph Financial and First Republic go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Triumph Financial and First Republic

Assuming the 90 days horizon Triumph Financial is expected to generate 17.15 times less return on investment than First Republic. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Triumph Financial is 23.61 times less risky than First Republic. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Republic Bank is currently generating about 0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1.80  in First Republic Bank on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1.78) from holding First Republic Bank or give up 98.89% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy13.49%
ValuesDaily Returns

Triumph Financial  vs.  First Republic Bank

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Triumph Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Triumph Financial are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Triumph Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
First Republic Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days First Republic Bank has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, First Republic is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Triumph Financial and First Republic Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Triumph Financial and First Republic

The main advantage of trading using opposite Triumph Financial and First Republic positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Triumph Financial position performs unexpectedly, First Republic can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Republic will offset losses from the drop in First Republic's long position.
The idea behind Triumph Financial and First Republic Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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