Triumph Financial Stock Price Prediction
| TFINP Stock | 23.08 0.58 2.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.63) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Triumph Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Triumph Financial from the perspective of Triumph Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Triumph Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Triumph because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Triumph Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 22.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Triumph |
Triumph Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Triumph Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Triumph Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Triumph Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Triumph Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Triumph Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Triumph Financial's historical news coverage. Triumph Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.45 and 23.59, respectively. We have considered Triumph Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Triumph Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Triumph Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Triumph Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Triumph Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Triumph Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Triumph Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.07 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.08 | 22.52 | 0.09 |
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Triumph Financial Hype Timeline
Triumph Financial is at this time traded for 23.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Triumph is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 22.52 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Triumph Financial is about 283.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.06. The company reported the revenue of 424.94 M. Net Income was 41.08 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 477.63 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Triumph Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Triumph Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Triumph Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Triumph Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Triumph Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Triumph Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BBD | Banco Bradesco SA | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.33 | (2.83) | 7.65 | |
| ITUB | Itau Unibanco Banco | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.84 | (2.89) | 5.69 | |
| BSBR | Banco Santander Brasil | 0.07 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 1.79 | (3.17) | 6.70 | |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | (4.04) | 10 per month | 2.11 | 0.06 | 4.19 | (3.17) | 19.53 | |
| CMA | Comerica | 2.11 | 12 per month | 1.41 | 0.12 | 3.53 | (2.64) | 14.10 | |
| KEY | KeyCorp | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.35 | 0.07 | 3.06 | (2.54) | 19.76 | |
| TFC | Truist Financial Corp | (0.30) | 9 per month | 1.18 | 0.04 | 2.26 | (2.46) | 12.77 | |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | (1.97) | 10 per month | 1.49 | 0.10 | 3.62 | (2.89) | 20.65 | |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | (0.05) | 8 per month | 0.84 | 0.14 | 2.87 | (2.28) | 14.20 | |
| USB | US Bancorp | 0.44 | 11 per month | 1.19 | 0.1 | 2.86 | (2.31) | 10.98 |
Triumph Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Triumph price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triumph using various technical indicators. When you analyze Triumph charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Triumph Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Triumph Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Triumph Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Triumph Financial based on analysis of Triumph Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Triumph Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Triumph Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001088 | 0.002689 | 0.001723 | 0.002279 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.95 | 2.46 | 4.46 | 4.42 |
Story Coverage note for Triumph Financial
The number of cover stories for Triumph Financial depends on current market conditions and Triumph Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Triumph Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Triumph Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Triumph Financial Short Properties
Triumph Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Triumph Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Triumph Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Triumph Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Triumph Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 392.7 M |
Additional Tools for Triumph Stock Analysis
When running Triumph Financial's price analysis, check to measure Triumph Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triumph Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Triumph Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triumph Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triumph Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triumph Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.