Correlation Between Ultra Fund and Intermediate Term

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultra Fund and Intermediate Term at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultra Fund and Intermediate Term into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultra Fund I and Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultra Fund and Intermediate Term and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultra Fund with a short position of Intermediate Term. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultra Fund and Intermediate Term.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultra Fund and Intermediate Term

-0.4
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultra and Intermediate is -0.4. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultra Fund I and Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Intermediate Term Tax and Ultra Fund is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultra Fund I are associated (or correlated) with Intermediate Term. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Intermediate Term Tax has no effect on the direction of Ultra Fund i.e., Ultra Fund and Intermediate Term go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultra Fund and Intermediate Term

Assuming the 90 days horizon Ultra Fund I is expected to generate 6.69 times more return on investment than Intermediate Term. However, Ultra Fund is 6.69 times more volatile than Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond is currently generating about 0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,627  in Ultra Fund I on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,536  from holding Ultra Fund I or generate 17.8% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultra Fund I  vs.  Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultra Fund I 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultra Fund I are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Ultra Fund may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Intermediate Term Tax 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Intermediate Term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Ultra Fund and Intermediate Term Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultra Fund and Intermediate Term

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultra Fund and Intermediate Term positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultra Fund position performs unexpectedly, Intermediate Term can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Intermediate Term will offset losses from the drop in Intermediate Term's long position.
The idea behind Ultra Fund I and Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

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