Correlation Between United Bancorp and Home Federal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both United Bancorp and Home Federal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining United Bancorp and Home Federal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between United Bancorp and Home Federal Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on United Bancorp and Home Federal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in United Bancorp with a short position of Home Federal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of United Bancorp and Home Federal.

Diversification Opportunities for United Bancorp and Home Federal

0.25
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between United and Home is 0.25. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding United Bancorp and Home Federal Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Home Federal Bancorp and United Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on United Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Home Federal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Home Federal Bancorp has no effect on the direction of United Bancorp i.e., United Bancorp and Home Federal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between United Bancorp and Home Federal

Given the investment horizon of 90 days United Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Home Federal. In addition to that, United Bancorp is 1.6 times more volatile than Home Federal Bancorp. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Home Federal Bancorp is currently generating about -0.01 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,268  in Home Federal Bancorp on October 14, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (8.00) from holding Home Federal Bancorp or give up 0.63% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy94.74%
ValuesDaily Returns

United Bancorp  vs.  Home Federal Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
United Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United Bancorp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable fundamental indicators, United Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Home Federal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

United Bancorp and Home Federal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with United Bancorp and Home Federal

The main advantage of trading using opposite United Bancorp and Home Federal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if United Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Home Federal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Home Federal will offset losses from the drop in Home Federal's long position.
The idea behind United Bancorp and Home Federal Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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