Correlation Between Virginia National and Merchants Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Virginia National and Merchants Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Virginia National and Merchants Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Virginia National Bankshares and Merchants Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Virginia National and Merchants Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Virginia National with a short position of Merchants Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Virginia National and Merchants Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Virginia National and Merchants Bancorp

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Virginia and Merchants is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Virginia National Bankshares and Merchants Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Merchants Bancorp and Virginia National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Virginia National Bankshares are associated (or correlated) with Merchants Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Merchants Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Virginia National i.e., Virginia National and Merchants Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Virginia National and Merchants Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Virginia National Bankshares is expected to generate 1.52 times more return on investment than Merchants Bancorp. However, Virginia National is 1.52 times more volatile than Merchants Bancorp. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Merchants Bancorp is currently generating about 0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,249  in Virginia National Bankshares on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,002  from holding Virginia National Bankshares or generate 30.84% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Virginia National Bankshares  vs.  Merchants Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Virginia National 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Virginia National Bankshares are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak fundamental drivers, Virginia National disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Merchants Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

19 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Merchants Bancorp are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Merchants Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Virginia National and Merchants Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Virginia National and Merchants Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Virginia National and Merchants Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Virginia National position performs unexpectedly, Merchants Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merchants Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Merchants Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Virginia National Bankshares and Merchants Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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