Correlation Between Vanguard Small and Consumer Discretionary

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small and Consumer Discretionary at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small and Consumer Discretionary into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Growth and Consumer Discretionary Select, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small and Consumer Discretionary and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small with a short position of Consumer Discretionary. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small and Consumer Discretionary.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small and Consumer Discretionary

0.95
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Consumer is 0.95. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Growth and Consumer Discretionary Select in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Consumer Discretionary and Vanguard Small is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Growth are associated (or correlated) with Consumer Discretionary. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Consumer Discretionary has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small i.e., Vanguard Small and Consumer Discretionary go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small and Consumer Discretionary

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard Small is expected to generate 1.25 times less return on investment than Consumer Discretionary. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard Small Cap Growth is 1.01 times less risky than Consumer Discretionary. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Consumer Discretionary Select is currently generating about 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  14,339  in Consumer Discretionary Select on August 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7,161  from holding Consumer Discretionary Select or generate 49.94% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Growth  vs.  Consumer Discretionary Select

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Growth are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak fundamental drivers, Vanguard Small may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Consumer Discretionary 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Consumer Discretionary Select are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak essential indicators, Consumer Discretionary showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Vanguard Small and Consumer Discretionary Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small and Consumer Discretionary

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small and Consumer Discretionary positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small position performs unexpectedly, Consumer Discretionary can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Consumer Discretionary will offset losses from the drop in Consumer Discretionary's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Growth and Consumer Discretionary Select pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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