Correlation Between Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Index and Timothy Small Cap Value, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small-cap with a short position of Timothy Small. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small

0.7
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Timothy is 0.7. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Index and Timothy Small Cap Value in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Timothy Small Cap and Vanguard Small-cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with Timothy Small. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Timothy Small Cap has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small-cap i.e., Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Small-cap is expected to generate 1.26 times less return on investment than Timothy Small. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard Small Cap Index is 1.22 times less risky than Timothy Small. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Timothy Small Cap Value is currently generating about 0.19 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,925  in Timothy Small Cap Value on October 21, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  67.00  from holding Timothy Small Cap Value or generate 3.48% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Index  vs.  Timothy Small Cap Value

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Small-cap is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Timothy Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Timothy Small Cap Value has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Timothy Small is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small-cap position performs unexpectedly, Timothy Small can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Timothy Small will offset losses from the drop in Timothy Small's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Index and Timothy Small Cap Value pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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