Timothy Small Cap Value Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| TPVIX Fund | USD 19.77 0.39 1.93% |
The entity has a beta of 1.25, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Timothy Small-cap will likely underperform.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timothy Small Cap Value are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Timothy Small-cap may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026.
...more1 | TPVIX Stock Fund Price and Chart NASDAQTPVIX - TradingView Track All Markets | 12/16/2025 |
| Expense Ratio Date | 30th of April 2025 | |
| Expense Ratio | 1.1400 |
Timothy |
Timothy Small-cap Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,765 in Timothy Small Cap Value on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 212.00 from holding Timothy Small Cap Value or generate 12.01% return on investment over 90 days. Timothy Small Cap Value is currently producing 0.1943% returns and takes up 1.2948% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 11% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Timothy, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Timothy Small-cap Current Valuation
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Timothy Small-cap's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Timothy Small Cap has a current Real Value of $17.81 per share. The regular price of the fund is $19.77. We determine the value of Timothy Small Cap from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Timothy Small-cap is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Timothy Mutual Fund. However, Timothy Small-cap's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 19.77 | Real 17.81 | Hype 19.77 | Naive 20.32 |
The intrinsic value of Timothy Small-cap's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Timothy Small-cap's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Timothy Small Cap Value helps investors to forecast how Timothy mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Timothy Small-cap more accurately as focusing exclusively on Timothy Small-cap's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Timothy Small-cap Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Timothy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 19.77 | 90 days | 19.77 | about 5.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timothy Small-cap to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.86 (This Timothy Small Cap Value probability density function shows the probability of Timothy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Timothy Small-cap will likely underperform. Additionally Timothy Small Cap Value has an alpha of 0.0877, implying that it can generate a 0.0877 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Timothy Small-cap Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Timothy Small-cap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Timothy Small-cap Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timothy Small-cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timothy Small-cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timothy Small Cap Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timothy Small-cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Timothy Small-cap Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timothy Small-cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timothy Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Timothy Small-cap Fundamentals Growth
Timothy Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timothy Small-cap, and Timothy Small-cap fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timothy Mutual Fund performance.
| Price To Earning | 19.37 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.97 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.25 X | |||
| Total Asset | 55.86 M | |||
About Timothy Small-cap Performance
Evaluating Timothy Small-cap's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Timothy Small-cap has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Timothy Small-cap has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by primarily investing at least 80 percent of its total assets in U.S. stocks with market capitalizations that fall within the range of companies included in the Russell 2000 Index . It invests using a value investing style. Value funds typically emphasize stocks whose prices are below average in relation to such measures as earnings and book value these stocks often have above-average dividend yields.Things to note about Timothy Small Cap performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Small-cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Evaluating Timothy Small-cap's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Timothy Small-cap's mutual fund performance include:- Analyzing Timothy Small-cap's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timothy Small-cap's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Timothy Small-cap's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Timothy Small-cap's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timothy Small-cap's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timothy Small-cap's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Timothy Small-cap's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund
Timothy Small-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Small-cap security.
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