Correlation Between Vanguard Short and Short-term Government

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Short and Short-term Government at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Short and Short-term Government into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Short Term Federal and Short Term Government Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Short and Short-term Government and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Short with a short position of Short-term Government. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Short and Short-term Government.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Short and Short-term Government

0.99
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Short-term is 0.99. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Short Term Federal and Short Term Government Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Short Term Government and Vanguard Short is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Short Term Federal are associated (or correlated) with Short-term Government. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Short Term Government has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Short i.e., Vanguard Short and Short-term Government go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Short and Short-term Government

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Short Term Federal is expected to generate 1.12 times more return on investment than Short-term Government. However, Vanguard Short is 1.12 times more volatile than Short Term Government Fund. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Short Term Government Fund is currently generating about 0.16 per unit of risk. If you would invest  982.00  in Vanguard Short Term Federal on August 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  32.00  from holding Vanguard Short Term Federal or generate 3.26% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Short Term Federal  vs.  Short Term Government Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Short Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Short Term Federal has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental drivers, Vanguard Short is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Short Term Government 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Short Term Government Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Short-term Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Short and Short-term Government Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Short and Short-term Government

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Short and Short-term Government positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Short position performs unexpectedly, Short-term Government can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Short-term Government will offset losses from the drop in Short-term Government's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Short Term Federal and Short Term Government Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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