Correlation Between 2 Year and Cotton

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both 2 Year and Cotton at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining 2 Year and Cotton into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between 2 Year T Note Futures and Cotton, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on 2 Year and Cotton and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in 2 Year with a short position of Cotton. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of 2 Year and Cotton.

Diversification Opportunities for 2 Year and Cotton

0.37
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between ZTUSD and Cotton is 0.37. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding 2 Year T Note Futures and Cotton in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cotton and 2 Year is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on 2 Year T Note Futures are associated (or correlated) with Cotton. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cotton has no effect on the direction of 2 Year i.e., 2 Year and Cotton go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between 2 Year and Cotton

Assuming the 90 days horizon 2 Year T Note Futures is expected to generate 0.1 times more return on investment than Cotton. However, 2 Year T Note Futures is 10.26 times less risky than Cotton. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cotton is currently generating about -0.2 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,280  in 2 Year T Note Futures on November 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  8.00  from holding 2 Year T Note Futures or generate 0.08% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

2 Year T Note Futures  vs.  Cotton

 Performance 
       Timeline  
2 Year T 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days 2 Year T Note Futures has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, 2 Year is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Cotton 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Cotton has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Cotton is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

2 Year and Cotton Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with 2 Year and Cotton

The main advantage of trading using opposite 2 Year and Cotton positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if 2 Year position performs unexpectedly, Cotton can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cotton will offset losses from the drop in Cotton's long position.
The idea behind 2 Year T Note Futures and Cotton pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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