Archer Daniels Midland Stock Performance
| ADM Stock | USD 66.33 0.90 1.38% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Archer Daniels holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.48, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Archer Daniels' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Archer Daniels is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Archer Daniels' sortino ratio, semi variance, and the relationship between the information ratio and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Archer Daniels' price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Archer Daniels Midland are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady fundamental indicators, Archer Daniels displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.38 | Five Day Return (0.29) | Year To Date Return 12.33 | Ten Year Return 99.19 | All Time Return 12.7 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0309 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 105:100 | Forward Dividend Rate 2.08 | Dividend Date 2025-12-11 |
| Archer Daniels dividend paid on 11th of December 2025 | 12/11/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Mcatee David R Ii of tradable shares of Archer Daniels subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/15/2025 |
3 | Bread Improvers Market Surges to USD 5.8 Billion by 2033, Propelled by 6.0 percent CAGR - Verified Market Reports | 01/05/2026 |
4 | Archer Daniels Midland Sets New 12-Month High on Analyst Upgrade | 01/21/2026 |
5 | Archer Daniels Midland Hits New 12-Month High Whats Next | 01/27/2026 |
6 | Teacher Retirement System of Texas Decreases Position in Archer Daniels Midland Company ADM | 01/28/2026 |
7 | A Look At Archer-Daniels-Midlands Valuation After Strong One Year Shareholder Returns | 01/29/2026 |
8 | Archer Daniels Midland Q4 Earnings Call Highlights | 02/03/2026 |
9 | Archer Daniels Midland Company to Issue Quarterly Dividend of 0.52 | 02/04/2026 |
10 | Disposition of 581099 shares by Juan Luciano of Archer Daniels at 33.18 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/05/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 3.9 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1 B |
Archer Daniels Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 5,553 in Archer Daniels Midland on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,080 from holding Archer Daniels Midland or generate 19.45% return on investment over 90 days. Archer Daniels Midland is generating 0.3053% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.6628% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Archer, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Archer Daniels Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Archer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 66.33 | 90 days | 66.33 | about 7.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Archer Daniels to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.82 (This Archer Daniels Midland probability density function shows the probability of Archer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Archer Daniels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Archer Daniels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Archer Daniels Midland. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Archer Daniels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Archer Daniels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Archer Daniels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Archer Daniels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Archer Daniels Midland, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Archer Daniels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Archer Daniels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Archer Daniels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Archer Daniels Midland can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Archer Daniels has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 11th of December 2025 Archer Daniels paid $ 0.51 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 581099 shares by Juan Luciano of Archer Daniels at 33.18 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Archer Daniels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Archer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Archer Daniels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Archer Daniels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 484 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Archer Daniels Fundamentals Growth
Archer Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Archer Daniels, and Archer Daniels fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Archer Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0472 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0202 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 39.72 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 480.57 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 13.30 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.41 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.39 X | ||||
| Revenue | 80.27 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 5.03 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 3.05 B | ||||
| Net Income | 1.07 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.01 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.19 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 8.41 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.40 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.51 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 46.97 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 5.45 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.17 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 31.44 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 34.66 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 21.93 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 7.78 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 7.33 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 4.56 B | ||||
About Archer Daniels Performance
By examining Archer Daniels' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Archer Daniels' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Archer Daniels is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 47.67 | 43.42 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.04 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.05 | 0.05 |
Things to note about Archer Daniels Midland performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Archer Daniels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Archer Daniels Midland help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Archer Daniels has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 11th of December 2025 Archer Daniels paid $ 0.51 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 581099 shares by Juan Luciano of Archer Daniels at 33.18 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
- Analyzing Archer Daniels' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Archer Daniels' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Archer Daniels' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Archer Daniels' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Archer Daniels' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Archer Daniels' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Archer Daniels' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Archer Daniels Midland. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Will Agricultural Products & Services sector continue expanding? Could Archer diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Daniels. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Archer Daniels data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Dividend Share 2.04 | Earnings Share 2.17 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
Understanding Archer Daniels Midland requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Archer's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Archer Daniels' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Archer Daniels' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Archer Daniels' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Archer Daniels represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Archer Daniels' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.